The long delayed next installment of George RR Martin's Song of Ice and Fire series, A Dance with Dragons, has been announced as July 12, 2011. Right. I'll believe it when I hold the book in my hands.This book has been the fantasy equivalent of vaporware.
As of this date, the book's not even finished by Martin's own admission. Also by his own admission, he's blown past numerous publication dates in the past. He says this one is real, but why should we believe him? Maybe the HBO people are holding a gun to his head?
If it does finally appear, because it's been six years since the last edition, I hope there's one hell of a detailed synopsis. I've forgotten virtually all the characters and subplots.
So what's the over and under on when the next book appears? I'd say 8 years, assuming Martin lives that long.