University of Florida Tom Lin is here at UCLA today to present his paper, The New Investor, to a law review symposium. (The New Investor. 60 UCLA Law Review 678 (2013). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2227498.)
I've been asked to comment on the article. So here's what I plan to say:
There is much to like about Professor Lin’s article, The New
Investor. The article provides a comprehensive survey of how technology is
changing the capital markets and thus, inevitably, providing new challenges for
securities regulation. Lin writes well and clearly, even about highly technical
legal and technological issues. The article is exhaustively researched,
reflecting a command of literatures from a number of disciplines.
As a lifelong tech geek and science fiction fan, moreover,
the many explicit and implicit references to classic science fiction tropes
tickled my fancy. Indeed, it is in my fanboy capacity that I must take issue
with Lin’s foundation metaphor; namely, We are all cyborgs now.
But when we think of cyborgs, we think of organisms that are
part man and part machine, such as the Borg of the Star Trek franchise or Darth
Vader of the Star Wars franchise.
Instead, a better model would be the working relationship between humans
and computers.
A classic science fiction trope is the ironically named “the
computer is your friend,” in which a super computer becomes a super-villain. Before
there was The Matrix there was Skynet.
Before there was Skynet there was Colossus. (I digress to note that The Forbin Project is one of those
movies that’s so bad it’s good.) And so on back to at least Isaac Asimov’s The
Machines. An apt metaphor for the hazards Professor Lin identifies in the
computerization of the markets.
Conversely, of course, there are some science fiction
supercomputers that turn out to be super-heroes. Holmes IV of Robert Heinlein’s
novel The Moon is a Harsh Mistress springs to mind as an apt metaphor for the
positive potentialities of technology.
So, first criticism, Borgs out, Skynet in.
On to a more serious point. As I said, there is much to like
about this article, but I must confess to being left rather frustrated by it.
For one thing, like most law review articles, it is too
long. (Mea culpa.) Consider, for example, Part I.A of the article, in which Lin
traces the rise of the machines in society. That section easily could have been
boiled down into the single sentence “computers are really important.”
In addition to being too long, law review articles all too
often suffer from grandiose ambition, which detracts from their utility for end
users such as practitioners, judges, legislators, and regulators. I’m afraid that Part V of Professor Lin’s
article is a case in point. In it, Lin takes on the question of whether
technological advances “necessitate the fall of humans in society and finance,”
concluding that they do not. I have no doubt that it is also a question worthy
of serious philosophical musing, but I am not convinced that an article on
regulating the impact of technology on capital markets is the right venue for
it.
Turning to my principal criticism, however, as I thought
about why the article left me frustrated, it occurred to me that I felt the
same way when I finished George R.R. Martin’s book A Dance with Dragons. When a
1040 page book that is the fifth in a series ends on a cliffhanger, one is—I
think—entitled to be a tad peeved. But by my count Professor Lin leaves us with
not just one but 11 cliffhangers.
Lin’s article thus called to mind my former University of
Illinois College of Law colleague John Nowak’s advice that the way to become a
successful professor is to “[t]ake an obscure little problem that no one has
thought much about, blow it all out of proportion, and solve it, preferably
several times, in prestigious law reviews.”
Unfortunately, other than publishing in a prestigious law review, that
is not advice Professor Lin chose to follow in The New Investor.
Let’s start with John’s recommendation that one select “an
obscure little problem.” Lin violated all three precepts. Instead of one
problem, he chose many. Instead of an obscure problem, he chose very important
ones. Instead of a little problem, he chose very big ones. But then he doesn't solve them.
The discussion of how cyber crimes threaten capital markets, for example, concludes with the observation that “[c]ybersecurity prevention and protection
efforts are undoubtedly difficult, but they must also be sensible, thoughtful,
and not obstruct the promise and progress of cyborg finance.” Lin therefore urges that the endeavor to
balance these competing concerns “must be pursued vigorously because,
ultimately, technological advances in finance may hold more promise than threat
in the future.” But the reader is left
wondering (1) assuming all turns out well, how do we effect such a balance and
(2) what happens if the future of computerized finance looks more like Skynet
than HOLMES IV?
Lin’s failure to provide solutions is particularly
frustrating when one comes to his discussion of the implications technological
change has for the legal definition of the “reasonable investor.” Here indeed
was a “problem that no one has thought much about,” albeit not a little one,
crying out for a solution. I left the analysis fully persuaded that
technological changes and new insights from behavioral economics require us to
rethink what it means to be a reasonable investor, but I also left it with no
idea of how courts might go about reframing the existing legal definition to
take cognizance of those developments. Telling the reader that “regulators need
to become more mindful of the dynamism and realism of the new investor model if
they hope to remain relevant” is not a solution.
What makes Lin’s failure to offer solutions here even more
frustrating is that this is one context in which his interest in broader social
questions may well prove relevant. In U.S. v. Sayre, the Ninth Circuit held
that a district court had not abused its discretion by refusing to instruct the
jury in a securities fraud case as to the meaning of “reasonable investor.” The
appellate court explained that “[t]he term ‘reasonable investor’ is a concept
within the jury's ordinary experience and understanding.” But if Lin is right
about the way technology is changing what it means to be a reasonable investor
and I’m right that most investors are not cyborgs, will it remain the case that
the everyday experiences of ordinary jurors will equip them to decide questions
of materiality? Put another way, will Wall Street’s Skynets be able to find a
jury of their peers?
In sum, if one wants a broad
survey of technology and capital markets from which one could mine multiple
problems one could proceed to solve, “preferably several times, in prestigious
law reviews” Professor Lin’s article will serve the purpose admirably. Indeed,
in closing, I hope that Professor Lin himself will do so. His article
demonstrates a command of several relevant literatures that will give him a
launching platform from which to move on to detailed analyses of the problems
he has identified herein. Just skip the cliffhangers from here on out, okay?